Technical analysis offers powerful, objective tools for picking stocks and
making money--and in today’s market environment, that makes it more indispensable than
ever. Unfortunately, most technical analysis books confuse investors instead of
enlightening them. In this clear, practical, fully updated book, Barron’s Online
technical analysis columnist Michael N. Kahn introduces proven technical analysis
techniques in simple language that any investor can understand and use.
Kahn explains how technical analysis works and then teaches you how to
read charts and translate them into investment decisions. You’ll learn how to use
technical analysis to complement your current approach to stock selection, discover what
makes a stock look promising, and objectively assess both risk and reward.
This completely revised third edition contains many new examples reflecting
today’s transformed market environment. You’ll find detailed new coverage of
recognizing bubbles, including real estate (2006), oil (2008), and bonds (2009). Kahn
presents powerful new insights into the relationship between technical analysis and market
psychology and crucial, up-to-date guidance on sector rotation in rapidly changing
markets. He also presents a full chapter on navigating through chaotic,
once-in-a-millennium, “black-swan” market events.
- Why technical analysis works
Bringing real objectivity to investment decision-making
- Chart patterns: See the forest and the trees
Recognizing markets that are changing, need a rest, or are about to take off
- Understand the central importance of price...
And what you must know about volume, time, and investor sentiment
- Down the road: a taste of advanced technical analysis
Candlesticks, cycles, Elliott waves, and how to debunk those guys on TV
Michael N. Kahn, CMT, a Chartered Market Technician, currently writes
the twice-weekly column “Getting Technical” for Barron’s Online. Mr. Kahn also
produces a daily proprietary technical market newsletter, Quick Takes Pro
(www.QuickTakesPro.com). Previously, he was chief technical analyst for BridgeNews, a
division of Bridge Information Systems, a leading source of global financial information,
transaction services, and network services.
He has been a regular guest on the Nightly Business Report on PBS, has appeared on
CNBC, and was the editor of the Market Technicians Association newsletter, Technically
Speaking. His first book, Real World Technical Analysis, was published in January 1998, by
Bridge/Commodity Research Bureau Publishing.
Prior to writing technical commentary, Mr. Kahn was a Senior Product Manager for
Knight-Ridder Financial before that company was merged into Bridge. He was responsible for
the marketing design of several of the firm’s charting software platforms and launched
technical analysis coverage for Knight-Ridder Financial News. He was also a coeditor of
the Tradecenter Market Letter. Prior to joining Bridge/Knight-Ridder Financial in 1986,
Mr. Kahn was a senior municipal bond specialist with Merrill Lynch. He also worked in the
Financial Planning Department at Shearson Lehman American Express.
Mr. Kahn holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in physics and economics from Brandeis
University and a Master of Business Administration from New York University.
Table of Contents
Preface xxi
About This Book xxv
How to Get the Most from This Book xxxi
Part I A Few Things You’ll Need to Know Before You Begin
1 Required Background 3
2 What Is Technical Analysis? 13
3 What Is a Chart? 19
4 Jargon You Cannot Avoid 25
Part II The Core of Chart Analysis
5 Concepts 35
6 What Are Supply and Demand in the Markets? 41
7 The Trend Is Your Friend and So Are Trendlines 47
8 See the Forest and the Trees 55
9 Chart Patterns--When the Market Needs a Rest 63
10 Chart Patterns--When the Market Is Changing Its Mind 73
11 Chart Patterns--Explosions 83
12 Corrections in Perspective 89
Part III Technical Analysis in the Real World
13 What Is There Other Than Price? 97
14 Volume 109
15 Time 117
16 Sentiment 121
17 Fundamental Analysis Really Is Technical Analysis 131
18 Just What Makes a Stock (Bond, Commodity) Look Good? 137
19 Risk Versus Reward--Is This Stock Really Worth It? 149
20 This Isn’t Brain Surgery 161
Part IV The Actual Process of Investing
21 OK, Now Do It! 177
22 How to Know if You Are Wrong 183
23 Sometimes Being Wrong Is Good 187
24 When to Sell 191
25 Bear Markets 203
26 A Word About Your Ego 209
Part V Tools and Case Studies
27 What Do I Really Need to Get Started? 213
28 Building Your Technical Toolbox 219
29 Final Advice 225
30 Case Study--The Perfect World 227
31 Case Study--The Real World 235
32 Case Study--Bizarro World 249
33 How Good Is Your Broker’s Stock? 253
Part VI Further on Down the Road
34 Introduction to Candlesticks 261
35 Cycles 271
36 Elliott Waves 275
37 Technical Terms You May Have Heard 279
38 Debunking the TV Analyst 299
Fun with Jargon 303
Closing thoughts 311
Index 313
352 pages, Hardcover