Bond Portfolio Investing and Risk Management helps you build portfolios to add
value through every kind of economic cycle. Sharing his years of experience constructing
robust, wellperforming portfolios that have navigated recurring crises, PIMCO portfolio
manager
Vineer Bhansali explores the various risk factors inherent in fixed income
investments, including yield curve shifts, twists, liquidity, and evolving risk factors
such as government policy. Under an option-theory based riskand- return framework,
you will gain intimate knowledge of the right valuation, investment, and risk management
tools and confidently put them to use in practical portfolio construction.
Basing his conclusions on his own expertise and the latest academic and
practitioner research, Bhansali provides valuable insight into topics you would be
hard-pressed to find elsewhere, such as:
- Option-based building blocks to valuation
- Measuring liquidity and stress risks
- Asset selection and risk factors
- Building state-of-the-art macro models
- Inefficiencies in the markets
- Cross-market relationships
- Forecasting returns and risks
- Measuring and managing tail risk
Bond Portfolio Investing and Risk Management
simplifies the concepts you need to understand--without making them simplistic. It
offers the newest research-based frameworks for approaching the risks with the greatest
likelihood to pay off and walking away from those that won't. While state of the art in
its content, the book emphasizes a commonsense approach that has weathered the test of
time and market volatility.
From one of the most knowledgeable people in the business, Bond Portfolio Investing and
Risk Management may be the most thorough, up-to-date book you will find for constructing
highly effective toolkits faster and better than ever before.
Table of Contents
Foreword
Acknowledgments
Preface
Audience
History of the Book
How This Book Is Different
Why This Book?
The Key Idea
Outline of the Book
Chapter 1 Risk and Total Return 1
Fixed Income Risk Factors 5
Different Ways of Measuring Risk 6
The "Big 4" Risk Factors for Active Fixed Income and Total Return 7
"Structural" Approach to Investing 11
Looking Back, Looking Forward 18
Chapter 2 Building Blocks 25
Option-Based Approach to Risk and Relative Value 25
Forward Pricing 31
Asset Swaps 44
Valuation Using Scenario Analysis 46
Betas: Risk Adjustment and Portfolio Aggregation 52
Chapter 3 Portfolio Structure 57
Understanding Carry 58
Understanding the Butterfly Strategy 62
Convexity and Time Decay 64
Extracting Risk Premium 68
Structural Value in Mortgage Rolls 74
Structural Value in Futures Contracts 79
Swaps and Structural Alpha 80
Structural Value in CDS Basis Trades 82
Mean Reversion: Structural Value of Direct Option Sales 84
Structural Value in Municipal Bonds 87
Volatility and Currency Carry Trades 89
Interaction of Foreign Exchange and Rates Markets 104
Caveat Emptor 107
Chapter 4 Macro Considerations 117
Macroeconomics of Model Building 119
Macro Drivers of Correlation Risk in Credit Markets 149
Risk Management with Macro Views: Forecasting Betas 160
New Macro: Modeling When the Government Is a Participant 167
Chapter 5 Replication 175
Leverage with Futures Contracts 175
Replication 176
Fixed Income ETFs 184
Chapter 6 Stress Testing and Tail Risk Management 189
Stress Testing 190
Tail Risk Management 210
The Behavior of Volatility 223
Chapter 7 Bonds in a Portfolio Setting 231
Asset Allocation 232
Equity Risks in Bond Portfolios 262
Portfolio Tail Risk 266
Holdings under Leverage Constraints 271
Epilogue 277
References 279
Index 283
362 pages, Hardcover