"...The wealth of
information will be appreciated by hardened industry professionals and by relative
newcomers. Tinsley is to be congratulated on this outstanding work..." Michael W. Good,
Managing Partner, Project Risk Advisors Ltd - London.
This book is an indispensable guide to the risks encountered in a project financing.
Written by Richard Tinsley, author of the best-selling self-study guide Project Finance,
the book begins by identifying the key risks in project finance. From this the reader is
presented with 214 real-world case studies in which each choice of risk structure is
explained and assessed. Starting with a cashflow analysis the book looks at the best
structures and funding techniques to mitigate and avoid risk. Deal diagrams are used to
illustrate the many alternative project finance structures that can be considered.
Furthermore, allied financial measures are explained and demystified.
This book is an invaluable guide for the project finance practitioner, enabling them to
dissect any project finance and find the appropriate risk structuring.
Table of Contents
Author biography xiv
List of case studies xv
List of exhibits xvii
Introduction 1
Project finance's origins
1
Project finance defined 1
Project finance structuring
2
Advantages 6
Disadvantages 11
Summary 13
Chapter 1: Structuring
stages 15
Technical feasibility stage
15
Financial feasibility stage
17
Market feasibility stage 20
Use in mergers and
acquisitions 25
Project concept 25
Summary 25
Chapter 2: Funding sources
27
Local currency funding 27
Capital markets 30
Developers 34
Mezzanine 34
Merchant financing 34
Islamic lending 34
Governments-public-private
partnerships 35
Leasing 35
Commodity-based lending 35
Equity 36
Summary 36
Advanced Project Financing:
Structuring Risk
Chapter 3: Cashflows 37
Modelling aspects 38
Cashflow controls 43
Modelling cashflows 47
Summary 50
Chapter 4: Financial
advisers 51
Advantages and disadvantages
51
Need for an adviser 51
Advisory costs 52
Who are the financial
advisers? 52
Summary 54
Chapter 5: Credit ratios 55
Debt service cover ratio 56
Residual 59
Interest cover ratio 62
Principal cover ratio 62
Present value ratios 62
Loan life ratio (LLR) 63
Project life ratio (PLR) 63
Residual life ratio (RLR) 63
Debt:Equity ratio (D:E) 63
Payback 63
Discount rate 64
Leveraged IRR 64
Choice of discount rate 65
Multi-tranche ratios 65
Accounting ratios 65
Summary 65
Chapter 6: Risk systems 67
Insurance 68
Statistical 70
Risk modellers 71
Checklist 71
Contractual/Jigsaw 72
Project finance 72
Chapter 7: Sector profiles
75
Sector features 75
Analysis by sector 78
Summary 87
Chapter 8: Structures 89
Risk 89
Risk division 92
Document matrix
Interest 92
Principal 92
Drawdown styles 92
SPV 94
Mezzanine 95
Subordinated debt 96
Working capital 98
Bridge loans 98
Multi-tranche 98
Commodity funding 98
Contract structures 98
Trigger structures 105
Financed structures 109
Study structure 110
Avoided 112
Summary 116
Chapter 9: Due diligence 119
Systematic review 119
The feasibility process 120
Selection of
experts/engineers 122
Customary reviews 123
Telecoms subscriber studies
129
Common sense 129
Chapter 10: Supply risk 131
Contract structures 131
Trigger structures 133
Financed structures 134
Study structures 134
Structures 138
Summary 139
Chapter 11: Market risk 141
Market-price 146
Contract structures 146
Trigger situations 148
Study techniques 150
Summary 151
Chapter 12: Foreign exchange
risk 153
What percentage to
structure? 153
Contract structures 153
Parallel loans 153
Barter 153
Trigger structures 154
Avoided 154
Study 155
Summary 155
Chapter 13: Operating risk
- technical component 157
Contract structures 157
Trigger structures 160
Financed structure 160
Study structures 160
Summary 161
Chapter 14: Operating risk
- cost component 163
Contract structures 163
Trigger structures 163
Financed structures 164
Study structure 164
Avoided 164
Summary 164
Chapter 15: Operating risk
- management component 167
Contract structures 167
Trigger structures 168
Study 168
Summary 168
Chapter 16: Environmental
risk 171
Contract structures 171
Trigger structures 171
Financed structures 172
Study 174
Avoided 174
Summary 175
Chapter 17: Infrastructure
risk 177
Contract structures 177
Studies 178
Summary 179
Chapter 18: Force majeure
risk 181
Acts of nature 181
Acts of man(kind) 181
Acts of government 182
Impersonal acts 182
Trigger structures 182
Studies 183
Summary 184
Chapter 19: Completion risk
185
Completion test 186
Contract structures 188
Trigger structures 192
Financed structures 194
Study approach 202
Sector completion protocols
203
Summary 205
Chapter 20: Engineering risk
207
Design/calculations 207
Study 208
Chapter 21: Political risk
211
Definitions 211
Government supports 218
Treaty protection 219
Contract structures 219
Trigger structures 225
Financed structures 226
Study sources 227
Avoided 227
Chapter 22: Participant risk
233
Sponsor pre-completion 233
SPV 235
Trigger structures 236
Study route 238
Avoided 238
Summary 238
Chapter 23: Interest rate
risk 239
Contract structures 239
Trigger structures 240
Summary 241
Chapter 24: Syndication risk
243
Roles 243
Choice of banks and
placements parties 244
Pricing 244
Disclosure 244
Contract structures 245
Study structures 246
Chapter 25: Legal risk 249
Legal regime 249
Concept of law 250
Enforcement 251
The courts 251
Solicitors/lawyers 252
Contracted structures 253
Trigger structures 253
Study structures 253
Avoided 254
Summary 256
Appendix 1: Differing
definitions 257
M&A 257
Securitisation 257
Lawyers 257
Project financiers 257
Appendix 2: Typical owner
controlled insurance programme (OCIP) 261
Section 1 Owner's project
company insurance coverages - construction phase 261
Section 2 Contractor's
insurance requirements - construction phase 264
Section 3 Owner's project
company insurance coverages - operational phase 266
Glossary 269
289 pages