Inflation targeting has
moved the quality of econometric methodology and practice into the limelight of economic
policy debate. This book describes how the discipline has adapted to changing demands by
adopting new insights from economic theory and by taking advantage of the methodological
and conceptual advances within time series econometrics. The authors interpret and
evaluate the last forty years of international research to explain inflation in a small
open economy. A dynamic incomplete competition model is evaluated and built into a small
econometric model to analyse the transmission mechanism, to evaluate monetary policy
rules, and to explore the main sources of forecast failure.
Readership: Students and researchers in econometrics and advanced macroeconomics.
Practitioners making forecasts and using models for policy analysis in governmental
agencies and in central banks.
Table of Contents
1 Introduction
2 Methodological issues of
large scale macromodels
3 The Norwegian main-course
model
4 The Phillips curve
5 Wage bargaining and price
setting
6 Wage-price dynamics
7 The New Keynesian Phillips
Curve
8 Money and inflation
9 Transmission channels and
model properties
10 Evaluation of monetary
policy rules
11 Forecasting using
econometric models
12 Appendices
230 pages