"Alesina and Roubini
will surely become the standard reference on how the political process influences the
economies of advanced industrial nations. The authors bring politics back into political
economy by demonstrating that economic performance does respond to the partisan
preferences of the left and the right."
Howard Rosenthal, Roger Williams Straus Professor of Social Sciences, Professor of Politics,
Princeton University
"Written by two leaders
in one of the 'hottest' fields in economics, this book clearly and convincingly explains
how partisan differences, re-election motives, budgetary procedures, and central bank
charters may shape monetary and fiscal policy. Alesina and Roubini provide a lucid
survey of existing theory; but first and foremost they integrate and extend existing
empirical evidence on political cycles, policies, and macroeconomic outcomes in the
postwar industrial democracies. Their book is destined to become a standard reference,
both for students and for researchers in the field."
Torsten Persson, Professor of Economics, Stockholm University
"A fundamental
contribution that marks a huge step forward in our understanding of political business
cycles. This book is a remarkable achievement: it combines the rigor of economic theory,
the originality of a comprehensive empirical analysis, a rich new data set, and a
marvelous clarity of exposition. It should be on the shelves of anyone interested in
political economics."
Guido Tabellini, Professor of Economics, Bocconni University.
Alberto Alesina is Professor
of Economics and Government at Harvard University.
Nouriel Roubini is Associate Professor of Economics at the Stern School of Business, New
York University.
Gerald D. Cohen is with the Federal Reserve Bank, New York.
The relationship between
political and economic cycles is one of the most widely studied topics in political
economics. This book examines how electoral laws, the timing of elections, the ideological
orientation of governments, and the nature of competition between political parties
influence unemployment, economic growth, inflation, and monetary and fiscal policy. The
book presents both a thorough overview of the theoretical literature and a vast amount of
empirical evidence.
A common belief is that
voters reward incumbents who artificially create favorable conditions before an election,
even though the economy may take a turn for the worse immediately thereafter. The authors
argue that the dynamics of political cycles are far more complex. One of their most
striking findings is that the United States is not exceptional; the relationships between
political and economic cycles are remarkably similar in other democracies, particularly
those with two-party systems.
302 pages