Dynamic Econometrics
David F. Hendry, Leverhulme
Personal, Research Professor of Economics and Fellow
Description
'This is a book of really
breathtaking scope and vision ... It belongs on every econometrician's bookshelf, whether
you buy hendry's vision in its entirety or not.' -C. R Nelson, Econometric Reviews
Dynamic Econometrics presents
a systematic and operational approach to econo--metric modelling, based on the outcome of
a twenty-year research programme. It addresses the practical difficulties of modelling
data when the mechanism is unknown, with theory and evidence interlinked at every stage of
the discussion.
The main problem in
econometric modelling of time series is discovering sustain-able and interpretable
relationships between observed economic variables. This book develops an econometric
approach which sustains constructive modelling, clarifies the status of empirical
econometric models, and formulates structured tools for critically appraising evidence.
Professor Hendry deals with methodological issues of model discovery, data mining, and
progressive research strategies, and with major tools for modelling (including recursive
methods, encompassing, super exogeneity, and invariance tests). In addition, he considers
practical problems of collinearity, heteroscedacity, and measurement errors, and includes
an extensive study of UK money demand.
The book is self contained,
with technical background covered in appendices of matrix algebra, probability theory,
regression, asymptotic distribution theory, numerical optimization, and
macro-econometrics. Mathematical results appear in solved examples and exercises, and live
classroom teaching of econometrics via computer demonstrations is stressed. The structure
of the book makes it of practical value to ecomomists investigating empirical phenomena,
to advanced undergraduate and graduate econometrics students, and to statisticians
involved in the analysis of social science time series.
David F. Hendry is Professor
of Economics at Oxford University, and a Fellow of Nuffield College.
Professor Hendry has written
a systematic and lucid style of econometric modelling of economic time series data. He
presents and analyses methodological issues, theoretical developments such as
cointegration, and important practical problems. This selfcontained and
empirically-oriented work is highly suitable for both practising economists and students,
and includes an extensive study of US money demand.
Readership: Graduate students; academic or practitioner econometricians or statisticians
890 pages.