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INTRODUCTION TO SIMULATION AND RISK ANALYSIS
EVANS J. OLSON D. wydawnictwo: PRENTICE HALL , rok wydania 2002, wydanie II cena netto: 300.00 Twoja cena 285,00 zł + 5% vat - dodaj do koszyka Introduction to Simulation
and Risk Analysis
Brief
Description
For upper-level undergraduate
and beginning graduate courses in business administration and related disciplines.
Providing a hands-on, real-world introduction to the concepts, methodologies, and
applications of simulation in business specifically, this soundly structured text uses
spreadsheets as the principal means to illustrate simulation modeling concepts,
computational issues, and analysis of results - giving students extensive hands-on
experience with minimal frustration. Covering the basic concepts of simulation, it
provides an in-depth study on risk analysis, and effectively deals with systems
simulation, reinforcing basic concepts and principles at every turn and emphasizing the
true value of simulation by highlighting real applications used in todays businesses at
every opportunity. This text also incorporates Crystal Ball and ProcessModel.
Features
- NEW-Basic
Excel skills-Expanded presentation of essential Excel skills.
elps students better understand and implement in-text examples.
- NEW-SkillBuilder
Exercises.
Provides students with hands-on chapter exercises that enable them to practice and develop
spreadsheet and software applications skills.
- NEW-Improved
pedagogy-Includes new Simulation in Practice cases that describe real applications of
simulation in various businesses; presents cell formulas and detailed explanations for
most spreadsheet models; adds numerous Questions and Problems to each chapter. Elementary
casino games are also used to convey elementary simulation modeling and analysis
principles.
Makes concepts easier for students to grasp, allows them to work with and extend models in
the chapter or apply the concepts to new situations, and provides them with a means to
review important concepts.
- NEW-
Additional examples and illustrations of simulation models-Many new and realistic examples
of simulation models in finance, marketing, engineering, and other disciplines.
Helps students gain a deeper understanding of simulation by applying concepts and models
to actual business scenarios.
- NEW-Full
student version of Crystal Ball.
Gives students a powerful Excel add-in for Monte Carlo simulation.
- NEW-Student
version of ProcessModel-Provides powerful systems simulation capability, with two chapters
devoted to the use and application of the software.
- Spreadsheets
used as the principal learning approach throughout each lesson-Takes advantage of the
charting and visual capabilities of Excel.
Conveys quantitative methodologies in a language business students can most easily
understand, allows them to address the elementary concepts of both risk analysis and
systems simulation approaches in a common framework.
- Fully
covers all basic concepts of simulation, providing discussions on the nature of simulation
models, systems (time/event driven) simulation; techniques for implementing simple
simulation models on Excel spreadsheets, methods for generating probabilistic outcomes, a
comprehensive review of statistical concepts and methods important in simulation analysis,
and much more.
Presents students with an intensive, complete, and up-to-date overview of simulation that
they can directly apply upon entering the workforce.
- Offers
an in-depth study of risk analysis using the Excel add-in Crystal Ball as a practical
method for Monte Carlo simulation throughout the text; provides a quasi-users manual for
Crystal Ball as well as an original application developed by Cinergy Corporation; prevents
a variety of applications in operation management, finance, and marketing..
Shows students the variety of uses of Monte-Carlo simulation as well as the flexibility of
Crystal Ball in addressing risk.
- Presents
a detailed analysis of systems simulation-Describes the fundamentals of simulating
inventory and queueing systems; develops activity scanning, process, and event-driven
simulation methodology; discusses output analysis and experimentation in systems
simulation; includes realistic applications in operations scheduling, information systems,
and medicine, and more
Educates students on all areas of systems simulation, and prepares them fully for
situations they may encounter in business.
Contents
1. Introduction to
Simulation.
2. Simulation Using Excel.
3. Probability and Statistics in Simulation.
4. Risk Analysis Using Crystal Ball.
5. Applications of Risk Analysis.
6. Building System Simulation Models.
7. Output Analysis and Experimentation for Systems Simulation.
8. Systems Simulation Using ProcessModel.
9. Applications of System Simulation.
10. Simulation in Forecasting and Optimization
392 pages
Po otrzymaniu zamówienia poinformujemy,
czy wybrany tytuł polskojęzyczny lub
anglojęzyczny jest aktualnie na półce księgarni.
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