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BUSINESS FORECASTING


HANKE J. REITSCH A.

wydawnictwo: PRENTICE HALL , rok wydania 1998, wydanie VI

cena netto: 231.00 Twoja cena  219,45 zł + 5% vat - dodaj do koszyka

John E. Hanke , Eastern Washington University
Arthur G. Reitsch , Eastern Washington University

Published August 1997 by Prentice Hall Business Publishing

Copyright 1998, 581 pp. Cloth ISBN 0-13-760745-8

This top-selling text presents, in a straightforward, application-driven manner, the basic statistical techniques that are useful for preparing individual business forecasts and long-range plans. The emphasis is on the application of techniques by managers for decision-making.

  • Includes a unique chapter covering econometric topics, making this very difficult subject understandable for the average undergraduate business student.

  • Presents solved and unsolved cases that relate various techniques to real-world applications.

  • Reviews statistical concepts prior to introducing more difficult material that requires an understanding of those concepts.

  • Explains the topics of autocorrelation analysis and the use of Box-Jenkins techniques, illustrated with excellent examples.

  • Covers judgmental forecasting techniques and introduces material on neural networks to reflect and reinforce the importance of judgmental techniques in forecasting.

  • Emphasizes the importance of selecting the correct forecasting technique and the means by which the data derived should best be analyzed.

  • Includes several new real-world data sets in Appendix E.
    1. Introduction to Forecasting.
    2. A Review of Basic Statistical Concepts.
    3. Data Sources.
    4. Exploring Data Patterns and Choosing a Forecasting Technique.
    5. Moving Averages and Smoothing Methods.
    6. Regression Analysis.
    7. Multiple Regression.
    8. Time Series Analysis.
    9. Regression of Time Series Data.
    10. The Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) Methodology.
    11. Judgmental Elements in Forecasting.
    Appendix A. Derivations.
    Appendix B. Data for Case Study 7.1.
    Appendix C. Tables.
    Appendix D. Data Sets and Database.
    Index.

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